Draftkings NFL Week 3 WR Report
Cincinatti Bengals
Damion Willis saw his snaps drop from 69 to 45 in week 2. The good news is he is still good for 3rd on the team. Definitely still on the GPP radar if his snaps can at least stay at that level. Buffalo's defense is pretty good against WR so far, however the teams they have faced so far include The Jets and The Giants, so curb your enthuisiam with this Defense. Boyd and Ross have both seen over 20 targets through two games. This shouldn't be much different here. The Bengals are a great stack for NFL Week 3.
Buffalo Bills
The Bengals defense got blown up by The 49ers in Week 2. They had a decent game against WRs in Week 1 vs The Seahawks. Cole Beaseley's snaps went down, while Zay Jones's snaps have went up. Zay Jones has seen a good concentration of slot snaps as well. It remains to be seen if the volume will be here, but at their prices to me John Brown and Zay Jones are both in play.
Miami Dolphins
Miami is obviously a dumpster fire, The Cowboys haven't been very generous to opposing WRs. They get another soft matchup here with these Dolphins. Dallas should have no problem shutting down Fitz or Rosen doesn't matter, there's no way they are better than Eli or Keenum and that pair is not exactly known as #good. Davante Parker dominates snaps here, behind him are Grant, Williams and Hurns, it'll be interesting to see if Wilson plays here, but you would think that would cut into the other guys time and not Parker. We really shouldn't have any interest here except for the longest of punts in the lowest of stakes GPPs.
Dallas Cowboys
The Dolphins defense just lost Minkah Fitzpatrick, so that's a bonus. Pay no mind to the fact that Miami was able to hold The Patriots WRs to 23 DK pts in week one, this defense is bad and just got worse. Dallas will do whatever they want to do to them. With Gallup out there is a good chance we see them go Devin Smith, the next guy up would be Cedrick Wilson who up to this point has only played special teams. Devin Smith may be worth some low stock fliers, but beyond that also look for The Cowboys to utilize their other options more, being Amari Cooper, Zeke and possibly more two TE sets consisting of Witten and Jarwin.
Denver Broncos
The Packers game ended up giving up 21 pts to the Vikings receivers after only giving up 12 to the hapless Bears in Week one. The Packers were comfortably ahead most of the game so that was mostly in garbage time. I wouldn't count on Flacco having a significant game in Green Bay. We can probably account for about 15 WR points from The Broncos here which is just not interesting.
Green Bay Packers
Denvers defense gave up 20 WR pts in week one, and then only 12 to the Bears in week two. Green Bay is better in the air than The Raiders or the Bears so in theory we could see a monster game from these Green Bay guys if they so choose. Very clearly Adams and MVS are 1 and 2 here but Geronimo's snaps are significant snaps. For some reason even though MVS saw more snaps and targets than Geronimo, because Geronimo had the TD here, his price raised above MVS's.
Atlanta Falcons
Interesting to note that Mohamed Sanu out-snapped Calvin Ridley in Week 2. So there is something significant there perhaps. Atlanta has not been able to run effectively so Matt Ryan looks to be throwing early and often here again. Road game in Indy, Indy has been good against WRs, they are in the top 10 in the league in dk pts allowed to WRs. Note they did give up almost 40 Dk pts to the Chargers WRs in week one so these numbers may be skewed a bit by facing the dreadful passing offense of Tennessee.
Indianapolis Colts
The Falcons have given up 60 dk pts to the WR position so far this season. Those two games were against what were thought to be very competant QBs in Kirk Cousins and Carson Wentz, so Jacoby Brissett shouldn't scare them at all in this situation. The Colts WR situation is murky at best behind T.Y. Hilton. Deon Cain, Zac Pascal and Chester Rogers played around 40% of snaps behind him, and Parris Campbell actually saw the least snaps of anyone in week 2 yet he is priced as the number two WR on The Colts, although it is a steep drop from T.Y. Hilton at $6400 to Parris Campbell at $3800. Through two weeks T.Y. Hilton has been targeted 15 times and the rest of the WR corps? Well, they have been targeted 14 times through two games and five of those were to Devin Funchess in week one who is now gone. Indy just opts to run the football as much as possible, Brissett is not forcing targets to WRs. This team would be the equivalent of a baseball team with all ground ball hitters.
Baltimore Ravens
After week one where Marquise Brown had the least snaps of their WRs but had the biggest impact, he led the team in snaps in week two with 64% of snaps played. Snead, Boykin and Roberts were in line behind him but all saw around 40% of the snaps. Which the snaps may not even matter at this point because Brown dominated all the targets. The Chiefs defense was decimated by Jacksonville's WRs in week one for 63 dk points, The Raiders were only able to muster 23 WR pts against The Chiefs in week two. The Raiders came out firing but the offense lost steam quickly. Lock and load on this game and stacking it whatever ways you can think of.
Kansas City Chiefs
In Week two The Cardinals proved that this style of offense can still produce fantasy numbers against the Ravens as their WRs chewed them up for 56.70 DK pts. Even The Dolphins in week one were able to chew the defense for 28 dk pts in garbage time. So lets lock and load on the Chiefs as well, this game should be full of fantasy goodness. In week two The Chiefs showed commitment to Sammy Watkins and Demarcus Robinson as the 1,2 punch, with Mercole Hardman right behind them as far as field time. Demarcus Robinsons price is way too low still for being the number 2 WR on the Chiefs.
Oakland Raiders
Tyrell Williams led the way last week in snaps and is supposed to be good to go for week 3, behind him are Ryan Grant and Hunter Renfrow, who both saw around 75% of snaps in week 2. The Raiders run a lot of Double TE, so a lot of times one or the other will be on the field, or they just come in a three wide. Either way Williams is too cheap for being the true WR 1 on this team and a team that still find ways to get the ball downfield from game to game. They get the Vikings here and on paper The Vikings have been one of the worst teams against WRs so far, giving up a combined 91 Draftkings points to WRs in weeks one and two. Now those two games were against The Falcons and The Packers which both of those teams modus operandis are to throw the football at volume and at will. I don't think The Raiders do that here even if they end up getting behind. Tyrell is fine, but trying to shoot for the stars on Raiders WR points this week may end up a very thin play.
Minnesota Vikings
I just do not see the game script here being good for the Vikings passing game, I am assuming they will be ahead here as in Week one against the Falcons and I see a lot of Dalvin Cook in Oaklands future. Natrually The Raiders are the 4th worst so far at giving up DK pts to WRs, so the matchup looks very sexy on paper but I do not think they throw here more than a couple of TDs here at best. Thielen and Diggs are priced down a few hundred dollars this week, Chad Beebe is far behind them in snaps and targets and should be a non issue until further notice, I don't even like him much as a dart this week.
New York Jets
The Jets are trash, they will not go toe to toe with The Patriots here, it just will not happen. Third string QB Luke Falk gets the start here. As the Jets showed on MNF they are in no position to contend with a team even the likes of Cleveland, let alone New England. If you must though, Jamison Crowder and Robby Anderson dominated snaps. Demarius Thomas was a non factor on snaps, maybe that changes after a week of practice, I would still guess that his snaps would not increase significantly and would be more of a gradual thing unless he had to be out there.
New England Patriots
Antonio Brown rolled right into town and played 33% of snaps in week 2. Brown's presence cut into Phillip Dorsett's time on the field, while Josh Gordons went up. If I was Bill Belichick I would want Brown and Gordon on the ends and let Edelman eat easy catches out of the slot, a la The Greatest Show On Turf 2000 Rams, I'm not Bill Belichick though, so how much Brown plays from here on out is anyone's guess. On paper it looks like Edelman's snaps are safe and perhaps so are Josh Gordons, and maybe they just keep using Brown and Dorsett as like these "power pinch hitters" that come in to do serious damage on long plays. Note Brown led the team in targets while playing the least snaps. They get The Jets in New England who have been chewed up by both The Bills and The Browns, this should be elementary for the boys in blue.
Detroit Lions
Kenny Golladay busted a freak week in week 2. Golladay and Jones ran on 90% of the plays while Amendola stayed at his usual 50% give or take that didnt change, but the targets for Amendola went way down. Pricing relatively the same for all of them this week, especially Golladay after the huge week, pricing still just $6600. This should be a great spot here for all of them. Philly funnels targets to the pass catchers with their defense.They are the absolute bottom of the league to giving up points to WRs on Draftkings. This shouldnt be different here, and you want to account for that, also a great pivot would be Kerryon Johnson.
Philadelphia Eagles
It's very unfortunate for The Eagles to be without two of their star wideouts in this one, leaving them with 3 playable WRs on the roster for Draftkings. Here we have Agholor, Arcega-Whiteside and Hollis, all of them are under 4K making them somewhat of a free square if you can hit on the right pair of them.
Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton has spent the week in a walking boot, yet Ron Riviera has not completely ruled him out yet, so either way I do not have a whole ton of interest here in a limited Newton or in Kyle Allen coming in at backup. Allen was a mediocre college QB at best, in the pre-season this year he completed 18 of 34 for no TDs or INTS, He did carry the ball 4 times for 24 yards, so there is a possible rushing upside here for a few extra points, but expecting much out of Kyle Allen here with these guys is a very thin play. (If you play Allen play him naked or with CMac)
Arizona Cardinals
This is an offense we need to be investing in week after week until further notice and here they are so nicely priced, Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk are both right at 5K, which you can't ask for much more getting these guys at that price as they have both seen over 90% of snaps in both weeks one and two. Damiere Byrds snaps actually increased in week two up over 90% even with the presence of Michael Crabtree who snuck in for 31% of snaps. Keesean Johnson was the player affected by Crabtrees presence taking his snaps down from 76% to 31%
New York Giants
We should see the return of Sterling Sheperd here and now we have the first week of Daniel Jones at QB for The Giants. Jones had an awesome preseason, hence Eli getting the hook so early in the year. I am super interested in Jones for GPP stacks, the question is who outside of Sheperd can we take a chance on? If Cody Latimer does not suit up this would be a great chance to get TJ Jones on the field, Jones led The Giants in receiving in the preseason, so he and Daniel Jones know each other pretty well. Even if Latimer does roll out I think its super likely that TJ Jones sees at least 35% snaps here and gets a few targets. They face The Bucs at home here, The Bucs defense was ate alive in week 2 by The Panthers and in Week one they had a decent performance against 49ers but the Niners scored two defensive TDs in that one so they did not need to attack them through the air. I am very interested in the Giants doing SOMETHING here.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Godwin's snaps stayed at over 90% in week 2, Mike Evans joined him and so did OJ Howard this week. Perrimans snaps trended way down, so it seems like this may be the setup for them for better or worse we shall see. They face The Giants here are a terrible defense against WRs on paper, giving up over 100 DK pts to the position through two weeks, including 70 of that to Dallas alone in Week one. Mike Evans price has crashed $1300 to $6600 on Draftkings which is definitely a mis-price with HUGE UPSIDE for this week against the trashiest of defenses. More people will be on Godwin and Evans is probably the sexiest pivot we have seen all year.
Houston Texans
Hopkins and Fuller are great plays as always seeing the field over 90% of snaps, after burning so many last week, no one should play Fuller this week and that is another huge advantage you can have over the field with big upside. The return of Keke Coutee seemed to affect Kenny Stills snaps slightly perhaps Duke Johnson was lined up as a receiver more in week one because his snaps took a huge dive. They face the Chargers in LA here and while they are thought of as a tough defense, they seem to funnel targets to WRs as they have given up decent WR games to The Colts and The Lions so far which neither anyone figures to be high powered WR driven offenses, so this is a sneaky good spot for both Fuller and Nuke here. Not huge interest in Keke or Stills they may see one TD but the chances of them getting a freak TD day here with Nuke and Fuller out there is very unlikely.
LA Chargers
Behind Keenan Allen The Chargers have been rolling out a maelstrom of WRs to see if something sticks. This is a run first team and Allen has such a huge target share where no one else is even close to him. The Texans can be exploited through the air, giving up at least 30 WR draftkings pts a week, I think LA will continue to play power football for the most part if Houston will allow them. Williams, Benjamin and Inman are all getting equal time around 60% of snaps, Williams would have more target upside, but Benjamin is the big play in theory.
New Orleans Saints
The Obvious thought here is the Saints corps are in a downgrade without Drew Brees, however Bridgewater can end up performing here with a whole week to prepare. Also Taysom Hill maybe gets used a little more and the Saints end up doing more funky double QB stuff. The Seahawks are actually in the bottom half of the league against WRs thanks to a huge 60 point drop by Cincinnati in week one, positive regression set in last week against the lost Pittsburgh Steelers, If Trequan Smith misses the game it'll be interesting to see if Deonte Harris ends up with some more action.
Seattle Seahawks
The Saints have surrendered 100 Draftkings points to opposing WRs through two weeks, and yet here are The Seahawks all priced incredibly friendly here as a home favorite. This seems like a no brainer here, and Jaron Brown should be good to go, he is a big play guy and the cheapest, but Metcalf and Lockett have seen the most opportunity thus far, so one of those guys should go off in this spot.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Mason Rudolph tore it up at Oklahoma State, he was okay this last preseason. The Steelers employed a lot of 2 TE sets in week two, Rudolph played half the game on a whim of course, so the snaps are hard to read, however do take note that Moncriefs snaps went way down while Diontae Johnsons snaps went up slightly as well as TE Xaiver Grimble. Also difficult read on the WR defense for San Francisco, While they were chewed pretty good by The Bengals, they defended The Bucs very well, so conclusion, mediocre?
San Francisco 49ers
George Kittle's snaps went way down in week two, while the rest of the situation is murky at best. The barrage of personnel appears to be a major part of Shanahan's plans going forward. For what its worth Marquise Goodwin does lead slot snaps with Deebo Samuel and Richie James. Pittsburgh has been lit up at WR by The Patriots and The Seahawks, now Pittsburgh did add All Pro Cornerback Minkah Fitzpatrick to the team this week, so he should make an immediate impact covering this varying set of pass catchers.